Predictive intelligence company, Anadyr Horizon, today announced the launch of Red Horizon, a new premium subscription tier that gives organizations unlimited access to its North Star platform – an ASI-powered simulation system designed to model how real-world decisions cascade into geopolitical crises.
Delivered through the North Star platform, Red Horizon provides continuous access to agent-based simulations powered by Agentic Systems Intelligence (ASI); custom scenario design across geopolitical, economic, and security domains; and technical support for interpreting outputs and translating them into decision frameworks.
Clients use Red Horizon to design and run custom scenarios, stress-test strategic assumptions, and identify decision windows in high-stakes environments – from military escalation to financial exposure.
Instead of analyzing events after they unfold, the platform simulates how decisions are likely to emerge under pressure – across governments, markets, and conflict systems – revealing escalation pathways before they become visible.
The system builds on over a decade of research and simulation design conducted at Harvard, where Anadyr’s Red Horizon methodology was used to train senior military officers, diplomats, and policymakers. These simulations are grounded in research showing that real-world crises emerge from interacting decisions under uncertainty – not static variables or linear models.
In controlled simulations, the system predicted the escalation pathways of the Iran crisis across military action, foreign support, energy disruption, and regional intelligence coordination, core escalation dynamics of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine 75 days in advance, and identified a “black swan” maritime seizure off the coasts of Cuba scenario days before real-world occurrence.
“Most institutions don’t fail because they lack information. They fail because they misjudge how decisions will cascade under pressure,” said Dr. Arvid Bell, Co-Founder and CEO of Anadyr Horizon. “Red Horizon gives them a way to see those cascades before they begin. It provides a persistent capability for navigating uncertainty.”
Red Horizon is currently available to a limited set of government and enterprise clients. To learn more, visit www.anadyr-horizon.com
About the Co-Founders:
Dr. Arvid Bell, Co-Founder and CEO, is a former Harvard lecturer and negotiation expert. He has designed high-stakes simulations for U.S. Navy SEALs, the U.S. State Department, and Fortune Global 500 companies, with a focus on decision-making under uncertainty and complex conflict systems.
Dr. Ferenc Dalnoki-Veress, Co-Founder and Chief Scientific Officer, is an experimental physicist and leading expert in AI-driven agent modeling. He is a co-recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physics through his work with the Sudbury Neutrino Observatory (SNO).
Dr. William C. Potter, Co-Founder and Advisor, is a professor and internationally recognized authority on nuclear negotiations and nonproliferation. He created the world’s largest open-source database on weapons of mass destruction.
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260508450055/en/
Media gallery
